Model Performance

Every PRIME prediction is frozen before kickoff and graded against the final score, with winner accuracy, margin error and calibration published for anyone to check. Through the latest graded week of 2026, PRIME picked the winner in 183 of 256 graded games (71.5%) with an average margin error of 13.8 points. 32.0% of graded games landed within 7 points of the final margin and 59.4% within 14. On the 256 graded games that also have a betting-market line, PRIME picked 71.9% of winners against 80.5% for the market, with an average margin error of 13.8 points against 11.4. See this week’s predictions and the methodology.